13 September 2026 / US Open, Men /R29
Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
ATP Final: 3–1 (6-3, 7-6, 5-7, 6-2)
Forecast
| Rating | 1901 (#3) | 1786 (#15) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 97 | 75 |
| Recent form | WWWWW | WWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 4 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a fifth set 31%
Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton: match analysis
US Open, Men puts Alexander Zverev against Ben Shelton on 13 September 2026. Alexander Zverev is rated 1901 (No. 3 in our ranking), Ben Shelton 1786 (No. 15 in our ranking) — 115 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 3–1 (6-3, 7-6, 5-7, 6-2). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Alexander Zverev: 8–2 in the last 10. The current winning run stands at 6. Last time out, Alexander Zverev beat Karen Khachanov 3–0 at US Open, Men on 11 September. At tour level this season: 44–8. Best recent win: Taylor Fritz (rated 1811).
Ben Shelton comes in with a 9–1 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 5. The latest result was a 3–1 win over Frances Tiafoe at US Open, Men (11 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 28–11. Best recent win: Carlos Alcaraz (rated 1872).
Head to head
Head to head: Alexander Zverev 3–0 from 3 meetings; most recently Alexander Zverev won 2–1 at ATP Singles: Masters Cup ATP on 9 November.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 115 points in favour of Alexander Zverev. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Alexander Zverev 8–2 against Ben Shelton 9–1.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Alexander Zverev 96 matches, Ben Shelton 73. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- Head to head: Alexander Zverev 3–0 from 3 meetings; most recently Alexander Zverev won 2–1 at ATP Singles: Masters Cup ATP on 9 November.
Full head to head: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-13 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 3-1 6-3, 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 | US Open, Men |
| 2025-11-09 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 2-1 | ATP Singles: Masters Cup ATP |
| 2025-08-16 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 2-1 | ATP Singles: Cincinnati |
| 2025-06-14 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 2-0 | ATP Singles: Stuttgart |
Last five: Alexander Zverev
| 2026-09-13 | W | Ben Shelton | 3-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-11 | W | Karen Khachanov | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-10 | W | Botic Van de Zandschulp | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-08 | W | Luciano Darderi | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-06 | W | Alejandro Tabilo | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
Full record for Alexander Zverev →
Last five: Ben Shelton
| 2026-09-13 | L | Alexander Zverev | 1-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-11 | W | Frances Tiafoe | 3-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-09 | W | Carlos Alcaraz | 3-2 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-06 | W | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-05 | W | Denis Shapovalov | 3-1 | US Open, Men |