Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend: match analysis

Guadalajara puts Tatjana Maria against Taylor Townsend on 14 September 2026. Tatjana Maria is rated 1563 (ranked 235 by our model), Taylor Townsend 1653 (ranked 78 by our model) — 90 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (7-6, 3-6, 2-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Tatjana Maria comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Tatjana Maria lost 1–2 to Nikola Bartunkova at US Open, Women on 3 September. At tour level this season: 19–17. Best recent win: Tereza Valentová (rated 1677).

Recent form for Taylor Townsend: 5–5 in the last 10. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Aryna Sabalenka at US Open, Women (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 17–10. Best recent win: Diana Shnaider (rated 1711).

Head to head

Head to head: Taylor Townsend 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Taylor Townsend won 2–0 at WTA Singles: Washington on 22 July.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 90 points in favour of Taylor Townsend. This drives most of the win probability.
• Form over the last 10: Tatjana Maria 5–5 against Taylor Townsend 5–5.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Tatjana Maria 62 matches, Taylor Townsend 44. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• Head to head: Taylor Townsend 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Taylor Townsend won 2–0 at WTA Singles: Washington on 22 July.