Forecast
| Rating | 1491 (#390) | 1580 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 42 | 28 |
| Recent form | WLWWL | WWLWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 49%
Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito: match analysis
Seoul puts Alevtina Ibragimova against Sara Saito on 20 September 2026. The rating gap is 89 points: Alevtina Ibragimova 1491 (ranked 390 by our model) against Sara Saito 1580.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (7-5, 6-2). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Alevtina Ibragimova is 5–5 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Alevtina Ibragimova beat Rina Saigo 2–0 at Seoul on 19 September. At tour level this season: 5–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Rina Saigo, rated 1543.
Recent form for Sara Saito: 9–1 in the last 10. Last time out, Sara Saito beat En-Shuo Liang 2–0 at Seoul on 19 September. At tour level this season: 1–0. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Park S., rated 1615.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 89 points in favour of Sara Saito. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Alevtina Ibragimova 5–5 against Sara Saito 9–1.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Alevtina Ibragimova 7 matches, Sara Saito 5. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.
Full head to head: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-20 | Won by Alevtina Ibragimova | 2-0 7-5, 6-2 | Seoul |
Last five: Alevtina Ibragimova
| 2026-09-22 | L | Yeonwoo Ku | 0-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-20 | W | Sara Saito | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-19 | W | Rina Saigo | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2026-08-26 | L | Mariam Bolkvadze | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Rebecca Šramková | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Alevtina Ibragimova →
Last five: Sara Saito
| 2026-09-20 | L | Alevtina Ibragimova | 0-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-19 | W | En-Shuo Liang | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2025-12-02 | L | Kraus S. | 1-2 | WTA Singles: Dubai ITF |
| 2025-12-01 | W | Ovcharenko E. | 2-0 | WTA Singles: Dubai ITF |
| 2025-11-30 | W | Webley-Smith E. | 2-0 | WTA Singles: Dubai ITF |