Forecast
| Rating | 1458 (#431) | 1596 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 38 | 38 |
| Recent form | LWLWL | WLLWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 46%
Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back: match analysis
Yue Yuan and Dayeon Back meet at Seoul on 21 September 2026. In our ratings Yue Yuan stands at 1458 (No. 431 in our ranking) and Dayeon Back at 1596, a gap of 138 points.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 1–2 (3-6, 6-4, 1-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Yue Yuan: 2–8 in the last 10. Last time out, Yue Yuan beat Hanyu Guo 2–0 at US Open, Women on 25 August. At tour level this season: 5–11. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Mayar Sherif, rated 1710.
Dayeon Back is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 1–2 loss to Wei S. at WTA Singles: Playford ITF (25 November). No tour-level matches in 2026 in our records; the results come from Challenger and ITF events. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Reyngold E., rated 1638.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 138 points in favour of Dayeon Back. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Yue Yuan 2–8, Dayeon Back 7–3.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Yue Yuan 31, Dayeon Back 2. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.
Full head to head: Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-21 | Won by Dayeon Back | 1-2 3-6, 6-4, 1-6 | Seoul |
Last five: Yue Yuan
| 2026-09-21 | L | Dayeon Back | 1-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Hanyu Guo | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-12 | L | Kayla Day | 1-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-11 | W | Renata Zarazua | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-07-21 | L | Nikola Bartunkova | 1-2 | Prague |
Last five: Dayeon Back
| 2026-09-23 | L | Maya Joint | 0-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-21 | W | Yue Yuan | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2025-11-25 | L | Wei S. | 1-2 | WTA Singles: Playford ITF |
| 2025-11-20 | L | Gibson T. | 0-2 | WTA Singles: Sydney 3 ITF |
| 2025-11-18 | W | Khan L. | 2-0 | WTA Singles: Sydney 3 ITF |