Forecast
| Rating | 1750 (#21) | 1488 (#395) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 59 | 29 |
| Recent form | LWLWW | LWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 33%
Alina Korneeva vs Darya Astakhova: match analysis
Alina Korneeva and Darya Astakhova meet at Seoul on 23 September 2026. The rating gap is 262 points: Alina Korneeva 1750 (No. 21 in our ranking) against Darya Astakhova 1488 (No. 395 in our ranking).
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-2, 3-6, 6-1). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Alina Korneeva: 7–3 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Mananchaya Sawangkaew at Seoul (21 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 17–6. Best recent win: Iva Jović (rated 1739).
Darya Astakhova comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. The latest result was a 2–1 win over Magda Linette at Seoul (21 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 3–1. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Hietaranta L., rated 1623.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 262 points in favour of Alina Korneeva. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Alina Korneeva 7–3, Darya Astakhova 7–3.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Alina Korneeva 39, Darya Astakhova 9. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
Full head to head: Alina Korneeva vs Darya Astakhova →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-23 | Won by Alina Korneeva | 2-1 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 | Seoul |
Last five: Alina Korneeva
| 2026-09-23 | W | Darya Astakhova | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-21 | W | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-01 | L | Madison Keys | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-11 | W | Varvara Lepchenko | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-09 | L | Coco Gauff | 0-2 | Toronto |
Full record for Alina Korneeva →
Last five: Darya Astakhova
| 2026-09-23 | L | Alina Korneeva | 1-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-21 | W | Magda Linette | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-20 | W | Alexandra Shubladze | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-19 | W | Haruka Kaji | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Marina Bassols Ribera | 1-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Darya Astakhova →