Forecast
| Rating | 1575 (#206) | 1579 (#190) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 66 | 55 |
| Recent form | WLWLW | LWWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva: match analysis
In Seoul, Anna Bondar faces Alina Charaeva in a WTA-level R5 clash, a best-of-3 sets match that pits two players in solid recent form. Bondar holds a slight edge in their head-to-head history, having won their only prior meeting, and will look to extend that advantage on this occasion.
Form and context
Bondar comes in with a 5-5 record in her last 10 and a season tour-level tally of 19-17, with a recent win over Renata Zarazua signaling steady consistency. Charaeva has a 6-4 mark in her last 10, 14-11 at tour level this season, and a notable recent victory over Sofia Kenin, suggesting growing confidence.
Head to head
Anna Bondar leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Anna Bondar, 2–0 at Hamburg (24 July).
Key factors
- Bondar has an overall slight lead in their head-to-head history, having won the only previous meeting.
- Charaeva has shown competent form recently with more wins in the last 10 and a recent win over Kenin.
- The model assigns a 52% probability to Bondar, with a realistic chance of a 2-1 or 2-0 result, keeping the match close.
Verdict
Anna Bondar is the pick to win this match. She is favored to clinch the 2-0 set score, reflecting the 52% edge in our model and the historical win in their first meeting. Straight-sets win for Anna Bondar: 26%. A deciding third set: 50%.
Full head to head: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva →
Previous meetings
| 2026-07-24 | Won by Anna Bondar | 2-0 6-1, 7-6 | Hamburg |
Last five: Anna Bondar
| 2026-09-22 | W | Renata Zarazua | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-03 | L | Madison Keys | 1-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-01 | W | Lucie Havlickova | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Cristina Bucsa | 0-2 | Monterrey |
| 2026-08-23 | W | Elsa Jacquemot | 2-0 | Monterrey |
Last five: Alina Charaeva
| 2026-09-22 | W | Sofia Kenin | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-18 | L | Anna Blinkova | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Elina Avanesyan | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Xiaodi You | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Susan Bandecchi | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Alina Charaeva →
More matches at Seoul
Frequently asked questions
How have Bondar and Charaeva fared recently in Seoul?
Both players have won matches in Seoul recently, with Bondar defeating Zarazua and Charaeva defeating Kenin, indicating solid form entering this clash.
What should fans expect in their only prior meeting?
Bondar won their previous encounter in straight sets, suggesting she carries some psychological advantage into this rematch.
Have Anna Bondar and Alina Charaeva played each other before?
Anna Bondar leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Anna Bondar, 2–0 at Hamburg (24 July).