Forecast
| Rating | 1701 (#47) | 1489 (#392) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 70 | 57 |
| Recent form | LLWWL | LLWLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 38%
Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer: match analysis
Daniil Medvedev meets Valentin Royer in Hangzhou, a match where Medvedev brings a strong 84% model win probability against Royer. With Medvedev holding a robust 20-12 tour-level record this season and Royer at 3-11, the numbers point to Medvedev as the favorite in this head-to-head that hasn’t occurred before in our records.
Form and context
Medvedev enters with a 5-5 run in his last 10 and a recent result at the US Open where he fell to Frances Tiafoe. Royer shows 3-7 in his last 10 and a season tally of 3-11, though his best recent win over Navone M. hints at some potential form. Overall, Medvedev’s higher strength rating and steadier tour-level results shape the balance of the matchup.
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Medvedev holds a clear edge in our strength ratings and overall tour-level record this season.
- Royer’s last 10 results are weaker than Medvedev’s, despite a notable recent win.
- There is no prior head-to-head recorded between the two in our data.
Verdict
Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win. The most likely score is 2-0 in sets. Straight-sets win for Daniil Medvedev: 55%. A deciding third set: 38%.
Full head to head: Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin Royer →
Last five: Daniil Medvedev
| 2026-09-06 | L | Frances Tiafoe | 0-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-04 | W | Arthur Rinderknech | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-02 | W | Sebastian Gorzny | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Martin Damm Jr | 0-2 | Winston Salem |
| 2026-08-18 | L | Brandon Nakashima | 1-2 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Daniil Medvedev →
Last five: Valentin Royer
| 2026-08-14 | L | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-06 | L | Tommy Paul | 0-2 | Montreal |
| 2026-08-04 | W | Pablo Carreño Busta | 2-1 | Montreal |
| 2026-07-14 | L | Alex Molčan | 0-2 | Umag |
| 2026-07-02 | L | Alexander Zverev | 0-3 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Valentin Royer →
More matches at Hangzhou
Frequently asked questions
Has Medvedev faced Royer before in our records?
No head-to-head result exists between them in our data.
What do the recent form numbers suggest about this match?
Medvedev has a stronger tour-level record this season and a balanced recent run, while Royer is below Medvedev in recent results, though not without potential.
Have Daniil Medvedev and Valentin Royer played each other before?
This is their first meeting in our records.