Nadiia Kichenok vs Nicole Melichar-Martinez

WTA Final: 2–1 (6-3, 4-6, 7-6)

Forecast

53%

Sets 2–0 Thin data

47%

Rating	1499	1480
Matches on record	2	1
Recent form	WL	L
Head-to-head wins	1	0

Set-score probabilities

2–0 27%

2–1 26%

1–2 24%

0–2 23%

Chance of a third set 50%

Nadiia Kichenok vs Nicole Melichar-Martinez: match analysis

Nadiia Kichenok and Nicole Melichar-Martinez meet at Guadalajara on 12 September 2026. There is little data on Nadiia Kichenok yet, so the rating is pulled towards the average. Nicole Melichar-Martinez has too few matches on record for a firm rating, so the model keeps that rating close to average.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-3, 4-6, 7-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

Rating gap: 19 points in favour of Nadiia Kichenok. This drives most of the win probability.
Tour-level experience in our data: Nadiia Kichenok 0 matches, Nicole Melichar-Martinez 0. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.

Full head to head: Nadiia Kichenok vs Nicole Melichar-Martinez →