13 September 2026 / Guadalajara /R6
Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Final: 2–1 (6-3, 1-6, 7-5)
Forecast
| Rating | 1522 (#335) | 1441 (#444) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 64 | 46 |
| Recent form | LWWLW | LLLLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenko: match analysis
Guadalajara puts Alycia Parks against Varvara Lepchenko on 13 September 2026. The rating gap is 81 points: Alycia Parks 1522 (No. 335 in our ranking) against Varvara Lepchenko 1441 (No. 444 in our ranking).
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-3, 1-6, 7-5). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Alycia Parks: 5–5 in the last 10. Last time out, Alycia Parks beat Petra Marčinko 2–1 at Monterrey on 24 August. At tour level this season: 15–16. Best recent win: Leylah Fernandez (rated 1635).
Recent form for Varvara Lepchenko: 3–7 in the last 10. That includes 4 defeats in a row. Last time out, Varvara Lepchenko lost 0–2 to Gabriela Knutson at US Open, Women on 24 August. At tour level this season: 6–12. Best recent win: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (rated 1542).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Alycia Parks carries the higher rating by 82 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Alycia Parks 5–5 against Varvara Lepchenko 3–7.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Alycia Parks 61 matches, Varvara Lepchenko 42. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Full head to head: Alycia Parks vs Varvara Lepchenko →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-13 | Won by Alycia Parks | 2-1 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 | Guadalajara |
Last five: Alycia Parks
| 2026-09-22 | W | Mei Yamaguchi | 2-0 | Singapore |
| 2026-09-15 | L | Sara Bejlek | 0-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-13 | W | Varvara Lepchenko | 2-1 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Petra Marčinko | 2-1 | Monterrey |
| 2026-08-14 | L | Viktorija Golubić | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Alycia Parks →
Last five: Varvara Lepchenko
| 2026-09-13 | L | Alycia Parks | 1-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-08-24 | L | Gabriela Knutson | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-11 | L | Alina Korneeva | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-01 | L | Emerson Jones | 1-2 | Toronto |
| 2026-07-26 | L | Polina Kudermetova | 1-2 | Washington |
Full record for Varvara Lepchenko →