Forecast
| Rating | 1650 (#81) | 1448 (#439) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 60 | 50 |
| Recent form | WWWWL | WWLLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 38%
Peyton Stearns vs Emiliana Arango: match analysis
On 13 September 2026, Peyton Stearns takes on Emiliana Arango at Guadalajara. Peyton Stearns is rated 1650 (ranked 81 by our model), Emiliana Arango 1448 (ranked 439 by our model) — 202 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (6-3, 6-2). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Peyton Stearns is 4–6 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Peyton Stearns lost 1–2 to Clara Tauson at Cincinnati on 16 August. At tour level this season: 15–12. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Daria Snigur, rated 1710.
Recent form for Emiliana Arango: 4–6 in the last 10. Last time out, Emiliana Arango lost 1–2 to Panna Udvardy at Monterrey on 22 August. At tour level this season: 11–14. Best recent win: Maya Joint (rated 1607).
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 202 points in favour of Peyton Stearns. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Peyton Stearns 4–6 against Emiliana Arango 4–6.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Peyton Stearns 45 matches, Emiliana Arango 48. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Full head to head: Peyton Stearns vs Emiliana Arango →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-13 | Won by Peyton Stearns | 2-0 6-3, 6-2 | Guadalajara |
Last five: Peyton Stearns
| 2026-09-19 | W | Liudmila Samsonova | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-19 | L | Iva Jović | 0-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-18 | W | Sloane Stephens | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Diane Parry | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-13 | W | Emiliana Arango | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
Full record for Peyton Stearns →
Last five: Emiliana Arango
| 2026-09-13 | L | Peyton Stearns | 0-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-08-22 | L | Panna Udvardy | 1-2 | Monterrey |
| 2026-08-16 | L | Iga Swiatek | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-14 | W | Venus Williams | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-13 | W | Nadia Podoroska | 2-1 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Emiliana Arango →