Forecast
| Rating | 1781 (#17) | 1653 (#78) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 57 | 45 |
| Recent form | LWWLL | LWWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 45%
Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend: match analysis
Guadalajara puts Marta Kostyuk against Taylor Townsend on 16 September 2026. Marta Kostyuk is rated 1781 (No. 17 in our ranking), Taylor Townsend 1653 (No. 78 in our ranking) — 128 points apart.
Form and context
Recent form for Marta Kostyuk: 7–3 in the last 10. The latest result was a 1–2 loss to Linda Noskova at US Open, Women (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 29–7. Best recent win: Iga Swiatek (rated 1866).
Taylor Townsend comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Taylor Townsend beat Tatjana Maria 2–1 at Guadalajara on 14 September. At tour level this season: 18–10. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Diana Shnaider, rated 1711.
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Marta Kostyuk carries the higher rating by 128 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Last 10 matches: Marta Kostyuk 7–3, Taylor Townsend 6–4.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Marta Kostyuk 56, Taylor Townsend 45. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
Full head to head: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend →
Last five: Marta Kostyuk
| 2026-09-17 | L | Liudmila Samsonova | 1-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-06 | L | Linda Noskova | 1-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-04 | W | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-02 | W | Sloane Stephens | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-22 | L | Coco Gauff | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Marta Kostyuk →
Last five: Taylor Townsend
| 2026-09-14 | W | Tatjana Maria | 2-1 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-06 | L | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-04 | W | Diana Shnaider | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-02 | W | Taylah Preston | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-16 | L | Elena Rybakina | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Taylor Townsend →
More matches at Guadalajara
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend?
The model makes Marta Kostyuk the favourite with a 73% chance; Taylor Townsend is given 27%.
What is the predicted score for Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend?
The most likely score in sets is 2–0 (43%), followed by 2–1 (30%).
Will Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend go to three sets?
The model puts the chance of a deciding third set at 45%.
Have Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend played each other before?
This is their first meeting in our records.
What is the recent form of Marta Kostyuk and Taylor Townsend?
Over their last 10 matches Marta Kostyuk is 7–3 and Taylor Townsend is 6–4.