17 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R5
Elina Avanesyan vs Alina Charaeva
WTA Final: 0–2 (2-6, 3-6)
Forecast
| Rating | 1528 (#326) | 1579 (#190) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 21 | 55 |
| Recent form | WLLWL | LWWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 49%
Elina Avanesyan vs Alina Charaeva: match analysis
Elina Avanesyan and Alina Charaeva meet at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 17 September 2026. The rating gap is 51 points: Elina Avanesyan 1528 (ranked 326 by our model) against Alina Charaeva 1579 (ranked 190 by our model).
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (2-6, 3-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Elina Avanesyan: 7–3 in the last 10. Last time out, Elina Avanesyan beat Julia Riera 2–0 at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 15 September. At tour level this season: 8–5. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Carle M., rated 1589.
Alina Charaeva is 5–5 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Alina Charaeva beat Xiaodi You 2–1 at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 15 September. At tour level this season: 12–10. Best recent win: Nikola Bartunkova (rated 1633).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Alina Charaeva carries the higher rating by 51 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Last 10 matches: Elina Avanesyan 7–3, Alina Charaeva 5–5.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Elina Avanesyan 20, Alina Charaeva 48. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
Full head to head: Elina Avanesyan vs Alina Charaeva →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-17 | Won by Alina Charaeva | 0-2 2-6, 3-6 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Elina Avanesyan
| 2026-09-17 | L | Alina Charaeva | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Julia Riera | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-24 | L | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-07-25 | L | Anna Bondar | 1-2 | Hamburg |
| 2026-07-23 | W | Yulia Putintseva | 2-1 | Hamburg |
Full record for Elina Avanesyan →
Last five: Alina Charaeva
| 2026-09-22 | W | Sofia Kenin | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-18 | L | Anna Blinkova | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Elina Avanesyan | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Xiaodi You | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Susan Bandecchi | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Alina Charaeva →