Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa

Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa: match analysis

WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles puts Jazmin Ortenzi against Paula Badosa on 17 September 2026. Jazmin Ortenzi is rated 1531 (ranked 315 by our model), Paula Badosa 1641 (ranked 89 by our model) — 110 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-4, 2-6, 2-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Recent form for Jazmin Ortenzi: 5–5 in the last 10. Last time out, Jazmin Ortenzi beat Chloe Paquet 2–0 at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 16 September. At tour level this season: 5–4. Best recent win: Urrutia M. (rated 1545).

Paula Badosa comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Justina Mikulskyte at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles (16 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 13–12. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Coco Gauff, rated 1911.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 110 points in favour of Paula Badosa. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Jazmin Ortenzi 5–5, Paula Badosa 7–3.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Jazmin Ortenzi 18, Paula Badosa 34. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.