Forecast
| Rating | 1589 | 1690 (#50) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 18 | 56 |
| Recent form | WLLWL | LWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 45%
Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova: match analysis
Guadalajara puts Kayla Day against Liudmila Samsonova on 17 September 2026. Kayla Day has too few matches on record for a firm rating, so the model keeps that rating close to average.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-7, 6-2, 6-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Kayla Day comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Elvina Kalieva at Guadalajara (14 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 11–6. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Diane Parry, rated 1633.
Recent form for Liudmila Samsonova: 7–3 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–1 win over Marta Kostyuk at Guadalajara (17 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 14–13. Best recent win: Marta Kostyuk (rated 1781).
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 102 points in favour of Liudmila Samsonova. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Kayla Day 6–4 against Liudmila Samsonova 7–3.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Kayla Day 17 matches, Liudmila Samsonova 53. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.
Full head to head: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-17 | Won by Liudmila Samsonova | 1-2 6-7, 6-2, 6-7 | Guadalajara |
Last five: Kayla Day
| 2026-09-17 | L | Liudmila Samsonova | 1-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-14 | W | Elvina Kalieva | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-08-24 | L | Julieta Pareja | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-15 | L | Shuai Zhang | 1-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-12 | W | Yue Yuan | 2-1 | Cincinnati |
Last five: Liudmila Samsonova
| 2026-09-19 | L | Peyton Stearns | 0-2 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Kayla Day | 2-1 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Marta Kostyuk | 2-1 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Elsa Jacquemot | 2-0 | Guadalajara |
| 2026-08-16 | L | Coco Gauff | 1-2 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Liudmila Samsonova →