Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova

Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova: match analysis

On 17 September 2026, Marta Kostyuk takes on Liudmila Samsonova at Guadalajara. In our ratings Marta Kostyuk stands at 1781 (ranked 17 by our model) and Liudmila Samsonova at 1690 (ranked 50 by our model), a gap of 91 points.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-4, 2-6, 5-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Marta Kostyuk comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Marta Kostyuk lost 1–2 to Linda Noskova at US Open, Women on 6 September. At tour level this season: 29–7. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Iga Swiatek, rated 1866.

Liudmila Samsonova comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Liudmila Samsonova beat Kayla Day 2–1 at Guadalajara on 17 September. At tour level this season: 14–13. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Madison Keys, rated 1739.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 91 points in favour of Marta Kostyuk. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Marta Kostyuk 7–3, Liudmila Samsonova 7–3.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Marta Kostyuk 56, Liudmila Samsonova 53. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.