Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova

Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova: match analysis

Haruka Kaji and Darya Astakhova meet at Seoul on 19 September 2026. Haruka Kaji is rated 1477, Darya Astakhova 1488 (ranked 395 by our model) — 11 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (2-6, 7-6, 2-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Haruka Kaji is 4–6 over the last 10 matches. The last 4 matches were all defeats. Last time out, Haruka Kaji lost 0–2 to Astakhova D. at WTA Singles: Yokohama ITF on 26 November. No tour-level matches in 2026 in our records; the results come from Challenger and ITF events. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Valdmannova V., rated 1625.

Recent form for Darya Astakhova: 4–6 in the last 10. Last time out, Darya Astakhova lost 1–2 to Marina Bassols Ribera at US Open, Women on 25 August. At tour level this season: 0–1. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Hietaranta L., rated 1623.

Head to head

Head to head: Darya Astakhova 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Darya Astakhova won 2–0 at WTA Singles: Yokohama ITF on 26 November.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 10 points in favour of Darya Astakhova. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Haruka Kaji 4–6, Darya Astakhova 4–6.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Haruka Kaji 5, Darya Astakhova 6. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
• Head to head: Darya Astakhova 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Darya Astakhova won 2–0 at WTA Singles: Yokohama ITF on 26 November.
• One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.