19 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R28
Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa
WTA Final: 2–0 (6-3, 6-4)
Forecast
| Rating | 1543 | 1641 (#89) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 11 | 37 |
| Recent form | WWWWL | LWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa: match analysis
On 19 September 2026, Nadia Podoroska takes on Paula Badosa at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles. There is little data on Nadia Podoroska yet, so the rating is pulled towards the average.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (6-3, 6-4). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Nadia Podoroska: 4–5 in the last 9. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. Last time out, Nadia Podoroska beat Suzan Lamens 2–1 at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 18 September. At tour level this season: 4–5. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Suzan Lamens, rated 1536.
Recent form for Paula Badosa: 7–3 in the last 10. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Mary Stoiana at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles (18 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 15–12. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Coco Gauff, rated 1911.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 98 points in favour of Paula Badosa. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Nadia Podoroska 4–5 against Paula Badosa 7–3.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Nadia Podoroska 9 matches, Paula Badosa 36. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.
Full head to head: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-19 | Won by Nadia Podoroska | 2-0 6-3, 6-4 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Nadia Podoroska
| 2026-09-21 | L | Kaitlin Quevedo | 1-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-19 | W | Paula Badosa | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-18 | W | Suzan Lamens | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Eva Lys | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Lucrezia Stefanini | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Full record for Nadia Podoroska →
Last five: Paula Badosa
| 2026-09-19 | L | Nadia Podoroska | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-18 | W | Mary Stoiana | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Jazmin Ortenzi | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-16 | W | Justina Mikulskyte | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-03 | L | Coco Gauff | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Paula Badosa →