Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin

Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin: match analysis

On 22 September 2026, Alina Charaeva takes on Sofia Kenin at Seoul. Alina Charaeva is rated 1579 (ranked 190 by our model), Sofia Kenin 1510 (ranked 354 by our model) — 69 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (3-6, 7-6, 6-4). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Recent form for Alina Charaeva: 5–5 in the last 10. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Anna Blinkova at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles (18 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 13–11. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Nikola Bartunkova, rated 1633.

Sofia Kenin is 2–8 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Jessica Pegula at US Open, Women (2 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–15. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Petra Marčinko, rated 1630.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 69 points in favour of Alina Charaeva. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Alina Charaeva 5–5, Sofia Kenin 2–8.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Alina Charaeva 50, Sofia Kenin 46. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.