Forecast
| Rating | 1627 (#111) | 1538 (#305) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 44 | 62 |
| Recent form | LLLLW | WWLLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia Zakharova: match analysis
Seoul puts Jelena Ostapenko against Anastasia Zakharova on 22 September 2026. In our ratings Jelena Ostapenko stands at 1627 (No. 111 in our ranking) and Anastasia Zakharova at 1538 (No. 305 in our ranking), a gap of 89 points.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (6-4, 6-1). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Jelena Ostapenko: 5–5 in the last 10. That includes 4 defeats in a row. Last time out, Jelena Ostapenko lost 1–2 to Tatjana Maria at US Open, Women on 2 September. At tour level this season: 14–12. Best recent win: Alexandra Eala (rated 1717).
Anastasia Zakharova comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Anastasia Zakharova lost 0–2 to Lucrezia Stefanini at Cincinnati on 11 August. At tour level this season: 14–12. Best recent win: Anna Kalinskaya (rated 1680).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Jelena Ostapenko carries the higher rating by 89 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Jelena Ostapenko 5–5 against Anastasia Zakharova 5–5.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Jelena Ostapenko 43 matches, Anastasia Zakharova 55. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Full head to head: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia Zakharova →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-22 | Won by Jelena Ostapenko | 2-0 6-4, 6-1 | Seoul |
Last five: Jelena Ostapenko
| 2026-09-22 | W | Anastasia Zakharova | 2-0 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-02 | L | Tatjana Maria | 1-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-15 | L | Magdalena Frech | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-04 | L | Shuai Zhang | 0-1 | Toronto |
| 2026-07-03 | L | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Jelena Ostapenko →
Last five: Anastasia Zakharova
| 2026-09-22 | L | Jelena Ostapenko | 0-2 | Seoul |
| 2026-08-11 | L | Lucrezia Stefanini | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-07-31 | L | Renata Zarazua | 0-2 | Memphis |
| 2026-07-29 | W | Camila Osorio | 2-0 | Memphis |
| 2026-07-27 | W | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2-0 | Memphis |
Full record for Anastasia Zakharova →