Forecast
| Rating | 1606 (#147) | 1705 (#42) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 37 | 50 |
| Recent form | WLWWL | WLWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 46%
Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng: match analysis
In Hangzhou, Yunchaokete Bu faces Michael Zheng in a straight-set potential battle after their recent US Open clash. Zheng arrives as the higher-rated player in our system and carries momentum with a stronger tour-level record this season.
Form and context
Bu has a balanced 5-5 record over his last 10 and a recent loss to Zheng in three sets, while Zheng sports a 16-7 tour-level mark this season and a 7-3 run in his last 10, suggesting a stronger current form edge for Zheng.
Head to head
Michael Zheng leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Michael Zheng, 3–1 at US Open, Men (3 September).
Key factors
- Head to head: Zheng leads 1-0, with the latest win at the US Open in three sets.
- Recent form: Zheng’s 7-3 last 10 and tour-level 16-7 this season indicate steadier results than Bu’s 5-5 in both recent and season-wide metrics.
- Model probabilities: Bu 30%, Zheng 70%, with a 46% chance of a deciding set.
Verdict
Michael Zheng is favored to win based on the numbers. The most likely score is 0-2 in sets, with Zheng taking the match. Michael Zheng wins in straight sets in 40% of the model's outcomes, and there is a 46% chance of a deciding third set.
Full head to head: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-03 | Won by Michael Zheng | 1-3 3-6, 6-2, 2-6, 3-6 | US Open, Men |
Last five: Yunchaokete Bu
| 2026-09-03 | L | Michael Zheng | 1-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-02 | W | Rafael Jodar | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Rio Noguchi | 2-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-13 | L | Quentin Halys | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-11 | W | Francesco Maestrelli | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Yunchaokete Bu →
Last five: Michael Zheng
| 2026-09-05 | L | Arthur Gea | 2-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-03 | W | Yunchaokete Bu | 3-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-02 | W | Fábián Marozsán | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-18 | L | Lorenzo Musetti | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-16 | W | Ugo Humbert | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
Full record for Michael Zheng →
More matches at Hangzhou
Frequently asked questions
How did Bu and Zheng perform against each other before this match?
Zheng won the previous meeting 3-1 in sets at the US Open, giving him the head-to-head edge.
What do the recent forms suggest for this match?
Zheng has a stronger tour-level record this season and is 7-3 in his last 10, suggesting a healthier run than Bu’s 5-5 in his last 10.
Have Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng played each other before?
Michael Zheng leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Michael Zheng, 3–1 at US Open, Men (3 September).