Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova

Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova: match analysis

Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova meet at US Open, Women on 8 September 2026. In our ratings Aryna Sabalenka stands at 1873 (ranked 5 by our model) and Linda Noskova at 1787 (ranked 14 by our model), a gap of 86 points.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (7-6, 3-6, 7-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Aryna Sabalenka comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 3. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Taylor Townsend at US Open, Women (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 29–7. Best recent win: Naomi Osaka (rated 1799).

Linda Noskova comes in with a 8–2 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 3. Last time out, Linda Noskova beat Marta Kostyuk 2–1 at US Open, Women on 6 September. At tour level this season: 27–9. Best recent win: Jessica Pegula (rated 1836).

Head to head

Head to head: Aryna Sabalenka 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Aryna Sabalenka won 2–0 at Indian Wells on 13 March.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 85 points in favour of Aryna Sabalenka. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Aryna Sabalenka 7–3, Linda Noskova 8–2.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Aryna Sabalenka 70, Linda Noskova 72. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
• Head to head: Aryna Sabalenka 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Aryna Sabalenka won 2–0 at Indian Wells on 13 March.