Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: match analysis

US Open, Men puts Frances Tiafoe against Alex Michelsen on 8 September 2026. The rating gap is 103 points: Frances Tiafoe 1770 (ranked 20 by our model) against Alex Michelsen 1667 (ranked 73 by our model).

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 3–2 (5-7, 3-6, 7-5, 6-3). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Frances Tiafoe is 8–2 over the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 3. The latest result was a 3–0 win over Daniil Medvedev at US Open, Men (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 33–11. Best recent win: Taylor Fritz (rated 1811).

Alex Michelsen is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 3. The latest result was a 3–0 win over Tomas Martin Etcheverry at US Open, Men (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 19–12. Best recent win: Brandon Nakashima (rated 1748).

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 103 points in favour of Frances Tiafoe. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Frances Tiafoe 8–2, Alex Michelsen 7–3.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Frances Tiafoe 70, Alex Michelsen 52. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.