Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro: match analysis

US Open, Women puts Jessica Pegula against Emma Navarro on 9 September 2026. In our ratings Jessica Pegula stands at 1836 (No. 8 in our ranking) and Emma Navarro at 1704 (No. 44 in our ranking), a gap of 132 points.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (3-6, 6-4, 6-3). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Jessica Pegula is 8–2 over the last 10 matches. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. Last time out, Jessica Pegula beat Sorana Cirstea 2–0 at US Open, Women on 6 September. At tour level this season: 34–10. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Aryna Sabalenka, rated 1873.

Emma Navarro comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 3. Last time out, Emma Navarro beat Anna Kalinskaya 2–0 at US Open, Women on 7 September. At tour level this season: 19–10. Best recent win: Iga Swiatek (rated 1866).

Head to head

Jessica Pegula leads the head to head 3–0 (3 meetings). The last meeting went to Jessica Pegula, 2–0 at Cincinnati (17 August).

Key factors

• Jessica Pegula carries the higher rating by 131 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
• Form over the last 10: Jessica Pegula 8–2 against Emma Navarro 6–4.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Jessica Pegula 81 matches, Emma Navarro 54. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• Jessica Pegula leads the head to head 3–0 (3 meetings). The last meeting went to Jessica Pegula, 2–0 at Cincinnati (17 August).