Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: match analysis

US Open, Men puts Ben Shelton against Carlos Alcaraz on 9 September 2026. In our ratings Ben Shelton stands at 1786 (No. 15 in our ranking) and Carlos Alcaraz at 1872 (No. 6 in our ranking), a gap of 86 points.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 3–2 (6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 1-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Ben Shelton comes in with a 9–1 record from the last 10 matches. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. Last time out, Ben Shelton beat Stefanos Tsitsipas 3–0 at US Open, Men on 6 September. At tour level this season: 26–11. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Taylor Fritz, rated 1811.

Recent form for Carlos Alcaraz: 8–2 in the last 10. That includes a run of 4 straight wins. The latest result was a 3–0 win over Tommy Paul at US Open, Men (6 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 12–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Fritz T., rated 1811.

Head to head

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Carlos Alcaraz, 3–0 at ATP Singles: French Open (1 June).

Key factors

• Carlos Alcaraz carries the higher rating by 85 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
• Last 10 matches: Ben Shelton 9–1, Carlos Alcaraz 8–2.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Ben Shelton 71, Carlos Alcaraz 53. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
• Carlos Alcaraz leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Carlos Alcaraz, 3–0 at ATP Singles: French Open (1 June).