9 September 2026 / US Open, Women /R27
Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
WTA Final: 1–2 (6-3, 1-6, 4-6)
Forecast
| Rating | 1638 (#95) | 1895 (#4) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 39 | 85 |
| Recent form | WWWWL | WWWWW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 3 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 32%
Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina: match analysis
US Open, Women puts Qinwen Zheng against Elena Rybakina on 9 September 2026. In our ratings Qinwen Zheng stands at 1638 (No. 95 in our ranking) and Elena Rybakina at 1895 (No. 4 in our ranking), a gap of 257 points.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-3, 1-6, 4-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Qinwen Zheng is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 5. Last time out, Qinwen Zheng beat Iga Swiatek 2–0 at US Open, Women on 7 September. At tour level this season: 14–11. Best recent win: Iga Swiatek (rated 1866).
Elena Rybakina comes in with a 9–1 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 8. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Naomi Osaka at US Open, Women (7 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 33–7. Best recent win: Coco Gauff (rated 1911).
Head to head
Head to head: Elena Rybakina 2–0 from 2 meetings; most recently Elena Rybakina won 2–1 at WTA 1000 Madrid on 26 April.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 258 points in favour of Elena Rybakina. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Qinwen Zheng 7–3, Elena Rybakina 9–1.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Qinwen Zheng 38, Elena Rybakina 81. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- Head to head: Elena Rybakina 2–0 from 2 meetings; most recently Elena Rybakina won 2–1 at WTA 1000 Madrid on 26 April.
Full head to head: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-09 | Won by Elena Rybakina | 1-2 6-3, 1-6, 4-6 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-04-26 | Won by Elena Rybakina | 1-2 6-4, 4-6, 3-6 | WTA 1000 Madrid |
| 2025-06-17 | Won by Elena Rybakina | 0-2 | WTA Singles: Berlin |
Last five: Qinwen Zheng
| 2026-09-09 | L | Elena Rybakina | 1-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-07 | W | Iga Swiatek | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-05 | W | Madison Keys | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-03 | W | Yulia Putintseva | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-26 | W | Clara Burel | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Qinwen Zheng →
Last five: Elena Rybakina
| 2026-09-12 | W | Aryna Sabalenka | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-11 | W | Coco Gauff | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-09 | W | Qinwen Zheng | 2-1 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-07 | W | Naomi Osaka | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-09-06 | W | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Elena Rybakina →