Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton: match analysis

US Open, Men puts Frances Tiafoe against Ben Shelton on 11 September 2026. Frances Tiafoe is rated 1770 (ranked 20 by our model), Ben Shelton 1786 (ranked 15 by our model) — 16 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–3 (6-4, 3-6, 3-6, 5-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Frances Tiafoe comes in with a 9–1 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 4. The latest result was a 3–2 win over Alex Michelsen at US Open, Men (8 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 34–11. Best recent win: Taylor Fritz (rated 1811).

Recent form for Ben Shelton: 9–1 in the last 10. That includes a run of 4 straight wins. The latest result was a 3–2 win over Carlos Alcaraz at US Open, Men (9 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 27–11. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Carlos Alcaraz, rated 1872.

Head to head

Head to head: Ben Shelton 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Ben Shelton won 2–0 at ATP Singles: Washington on 26 July.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 16 points in favour of Ben Shelton. This drives most of the win probability.
• Form over the last 10: Frances Tiafoe 9–1 against Ben Shelton 9–1.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Frances Tiafoe 71 matches, Ben Shelton 72. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• Head to head: Ben Shelton 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Ben Shelton won 2–0 at ATP Singles: Washington on 26 July.