11 September 2026 / US Open, Men /R28
Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
ATP Final: 3–0 (6-3, 7-6, 7-6)
Forecast
| Rating | 1901 (#3) | 1648 (#84) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 97 | 52 |
| Recent form | WWWWW | WWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 3 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a fifth set 21%
Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov: match analysis
Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov meet at US Open, Men on 11 September 2026. Alexander Zverev is rated 1901 (ranked 3 by our model), Karen Khachanov 1648 (ranked 84 by our model) — 253 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 3–0 (6-3, 7-6, 7-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Alexander Zverev comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 5. The latest result was a 3–0 win over Botic Van de Zandschulp at US Open, Men (10 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 43–8. Best recent win: Taylor Fritz (rated 1811).
Recent form for Karen Khachanov: 6–4 in the last 10. The current winning run stands at 4. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Alexander Blockx at US Open, Men (9 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 14–12. Best recent win: Alexander Blockx (rated 1720).
Head to head
Head to head: Alexander Zverev 2–0 from 2 meetings; most recently Alexander Zverev won 2–0 at ATP Singles: Toronto on 7 August.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 253 points in favour of Alexander Zverev. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Alexander Zverev 7–3, Karen Khachanov 6–4.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Alexander Zverev 95, Karen Khachanov 51. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- Head to head: Alexander Zverev 2–0 from 2 meetings; most recently Alexander Zverev won 2–0 at ATP Singles: Toronto on 7 August.
Full head to head: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-11 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 3-0 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 | US Open, Men |
| 2025-08-07 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 2-0 | ATP Singles: Toronto |
| 2025-08-06 | Won by Alexander Zverev | 2-0 | ATP Singles: Toronto |
Last five: Alexander Zverev
| 2026-09-13 | W | Ben Shelton | 3-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-11 | W | Karen Khachanov | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-10 | W | Botic Van de Zandschulp | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-08 | W | Luciano Darderi | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-06 | W | Alejandro Tabilo | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
Full record for Alexander Zverev →
Last five: Karen Khachanov
| 2026-09-11 | L | Alexander Zverev | 0-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-09 | W | Alexander Blockx | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-07 | W | Learner Tien | 3-2 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-05 | W | Benjamin Bonzi | 3-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-09-03 | W | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 3-1 | US Open, Men |
Full record for Karen Khachanov →