Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina

Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina: match analysis

On 11 September 2026, Coco Gauff takes on Elena Rybakina at US Open, Women. In our ratings Coco Gauff stands at 1911 (No. 2 in our ranking) and Elena Rybakina at 1895 (No. 4 in our ranking), a gap of 16 points.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-3, 4-6, 4-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Coco Gauff is 10–0 over the last 10 matches. The current winning run stands at 11. Last time out, Coco Gauff beat Mirra Andreeva 2–1 at US Open, Women on 9 September. At tour level this season: 34–8. Best recent win: Jessica Pegula (rated 1836).

Recent form for Elena Rybakina: 9–1 in the last 10. That includes a run of 9 straight wins. Last time out, Elena Rybakina beat Qinwen Zheng 2–1 at US Open, Women on 9 September. At tour level this season: 34–7. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Coco Gauff, rated 1911.

Head to head

Head to head: Elena Rybakina 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Elena Rybakina won 2–1 at Toronto on 13 August.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 16 points in favour of Coco Gauff. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Coco Gauff 10–0, Elena Rybakina 9–1.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Coco Gauff 78, Elena Rybakina 82. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
• Head to head: Elena Rybakina 1–0 from 1 meeting; most recently Elena Rybakina won 2–1 at Toronto on 13 August.