12 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R1
Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria Rodriguez
WTA Final: 2–1 (6-4, 1-6, 6-2)
Forecast
| Rating | 1480 | 1413 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 28 | 14 |
| Recent form | LLWLL | WLWLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria Rodriguez: match analysis
On 12 September 2026, Hayu Kinoshita takes on Victoria Rodriguez at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles. Victoria Rodriguez has too few matches on record for a firm rating, so the model keeps that rating close to average.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-4, 1-6, 6-2). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Hayu Kinoshita: 4–6 in the last 10. Last time out, Hayu Kinoshita lost 0–2 to Darja Semenistaja at US Open, Women on 25 August. At tour level this season: 1–2. Best recent win: Black B. (rated 1600).
Victoria Rodriguez is 2–8 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Yulia Putintseva at Monterrey (22 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 0–1. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Micic E., rated 1507.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 68 points in favour of Hayu Kinoshita. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Hayu Kinoshita 4–6 against Victoria Rodriguez 2–8.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Hayu Kinoshita 5 matches, Victoria Rodriguez 4. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.
Full head to head: Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria Rodriguez →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-12 | Won by Hayu Kinoshita | 2-1 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Hayu Kinoshita
| 2026-09-15 | L | Darja Semenistaja | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-13 | L | Cadence Brace | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-12 | W | Victoria Rodriguez | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Darja Semenistaja | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Mariam Bolkvadze | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Hayu Kinoshita →
Last five: Victoria Rodriguez
| 2026-09-12 | L | Hayu Kinoshita | 1-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-22 | L | Yulia Putintseva | 0-2 | Monterrey |
| 2025-11-19 | W | Daniel J. | 2-0 | WTA Singles: Chihuahua 3 ITF |
| 2025-10-28 | L | Nepliy E. | 1-2 | WTA Singles: Irapuato ITF |
| 2025-10-14 | W | Plekhanova D. | 2-0 | WTA Singles: Tampico WTA |
Full record for Victoria Rodriguez →