Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Anastasia Tikhonova

Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Anastasia Tikhonova: match analysis

On 12 September 2026, Maria Florencia Urrutia takes on Anastasia Tikhonova at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles. Maria Florencia Urrutia is rated 1545, Anastasia Tikhonova 1566 (No. 231 in our ranking) — 21 points apart.

Form and context

Maria Florencia Urrutia is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. That includes a run of 5 straight wins. The latest result was a 2–1 win over Rabin S. at WTA Singles: Neuquén ITF (30 October). No tour-level matches in 2026 in our records; the results come from Challenger and ITF events. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Thamm M., rated 1583.

Anastasia Tikhonova is 8–2 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Anastasia Tikhonova lost 0–2 to Erjavec V. at WTA Singles: Quito WTA on 2 December. All of Anastasia Tikhonova's 2026 results on record come below tour level. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Nepliy E., rated 1542.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 21 points in favour of Anastasia Tikhonova. This drives most of the win probability.
• Form over the last 10: Maria Florencia Urrutia 7–3 against Anastasia Tikhonova 8–2.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Maria Florencia Urrutia 0 matches, Anastasia Tikhonova 10. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.

Verdict

Anastasia Tikhonova is the pick at 59%, and 0–2 is the single most likely scoreline (32%). A real edge, but an upset would not be a shock. Straight-sets win for Anastasia Tikhonova: 32%. A deciding third set: 49%.