16 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R6
Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa
WTA Final: 0–2 (3-6, 2-6)
Forecast
| Rating | 1509 (#356) | 1641 (#89) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 45 | 37 |
| Recent form | WLWLL | LWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 44%
Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa: match analysis
On 16 September 2026, Justina Mikulskyte takes on Paula Badosa at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles. Justina Mikulskyte is rated 1509 (No. 356 in our ranking), Paula Badosa 1641 (No. 89 in our ranking) — 132 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (3-6, 2-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Justina Mikulskyte: 7–3 in the last 10. Last time out, Justina Mikulskyte lost 0–2 to Chloe Paquet at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 13 September. At tour level this season: 2–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Ansari C., rated 1591.
Paula Badosa is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Coco Gauff at US Open, Women (3 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 12–12. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Coco Gauff, rated 1911.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 132 points in favour of Paula Badosa. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Justina Mikulskyte 7–3 against Paula Badosa 7–3.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Justina Mikulskyte 11 matches, Paula Badosa 33. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Full head to head: Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-16 | Won by Paula Badosa | 0-2 3-6, 2-6 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Justina Mikulskyte
| 2026-09-16 | L | Paula Badosa | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-13 | L | Chloe Paquet | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-12 | W | Antonia Vergara Rivera | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Lucia Bronzetti | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-06-23 | W | Carol Zhao | 2-0 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Justina Mikulskyte →
Last five: Paula Badosa
| 2026-09-19 | L | Nadia Podoroska | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-18 | W | Mary Stoiana | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Jazmin Ortenzi | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-16 | W | Justina Mikulskyte | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-03 | L | Coco Gauff | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Paula Badosa →