Forecast
| Rating | 1497 (#377) | 1539 (#300) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 45 | 57 |
| Recent form | LWLWL | LLWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Sebastián Báez vs Jenson Brooksby: match analysis
On 23 September 2026, Sebastián Báez takes on Jenson Brooksby at Chengdu. In our ratings Sebastián Báez stands at 1497 (No. 377 in our ranking) and Jenson Brooksby at 1539 (No. 300 in our ranking), a gap of 42 points.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (5-7, 5-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Sebastián Báez comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Sebastián Báez beat Hugo Grenier 2–0 at Winston Salem on 25 August. At tour level this season: 13–15. Best recent win: Vilius Gaubas (rated 1620).
Jenson Brooksby comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Jenson Brooksby lost 0–2 to Stefanos Tsitsipas at Winston Salem on 24 August. At tour level this season: 9–15. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Ignacio Buse, rated 1631.
Head to head
Sebastián Báez leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Sebastián Báez, 2–0 at ATP Rome Masters (6 May).
Key factors
- Jenson Brooksby carries the higher rating by 42 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Last 10 matches: Sebastián Báez 6–4, Jenson Brooksby 5–5.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Sebastián Báez 43, Jenson Brooksby 53. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- Sebastián Báez leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Sebastián Báez, 2–0 at ATP Rome Masters (6 May).
Full head to head: Sebastián Báez vs Jenson Brooksby →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-23 | Won by Jenson Brooksby | 0-2 5-7, 5-7 | Chengdu |
| 2026-05-06 | Won by Sebastián Báez | 2-0 6-3, 7-6 | ATP Rome Masters |
Last five: Sebastián Báez
| 2026-09-23 | L | Jenson Brooksby | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Hugo Grenier | 2-0 | Winston Salem |
| 2026-08-16 | L | Learner Tien | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-14 | W | Grigor Dimitrov | 2-1 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-05 | L | Zizou Bergs | 1-2 | Montreal |
Full record for Sebastián Báez →
Last five: Jenson Brooksby
| 2026-09-23 | W | Sebastián Báez | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | L | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0-2 | Winston Salem |
| 2026-08-23 | W | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2-0 | Winston Salem |
| 2026-08-14 | L | Jaime Faria | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-05 | L | Ben Shelton | 0-2 | Montreal |
Full record for Jenson Brooksby →