Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov: match analysis

Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov meet at Chengdu on 23 September 2026. There is little data on Pavel Kotov yet, so the rating is pulled towards the average.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–0 (7-5, 6-3). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Recent form for Shintaro Mochizuki: 7–3 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–1 win over Linang Xiao at Chengdu (22 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 10–8. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Rafael Jodar, rated 1794.

Pavel Kotov is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. That includes a run of 3 straight wins. Last time out, Pavel Kotov beat Luca Castelnuovo 2–1 at Chengdu on 22 September. At tour level this season: 1–0. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Santillan A., rated 1669.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 59 points in favour of Shintaro Mochizuki. This drives most of the win probability.
• Form over the last 10: Shintaro Mochizuki 7–3 against Pavel Kotov 7–3.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Shintaro Mochizuki 37 matches, Pavel Kotov 2. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.