Forecast
| Rating | 1641 (#90) | 1546 (#280) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 37 | 46 |
| Recent form | LWLWW | LLWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneau: match analysis
On 23 September 2026, Lloyd Harris takes on Alexis Galarneau at Chengdu. The rating gap is 95 points: Lloyd Harris 1641 (No. 90 in our ranking) against Alexis Galarneau 1546 (No. 280 in our ranking).
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (6-3, 7-5). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Lloyd Harris comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Lloyd Harris beat Kenta Miyoshi 2–0 at Chengdu on 22 September. At tour level this season: 4–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Tabilo A., rated 1605.
Alexis Galarneau is 6–4 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Alexis Galarneau beat Elias Ymer 2–0 at Chengdu on 22 September. At tour level this season: 9–5. Best recent win: Alex Barrena (rated 1594).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Lloyd Harris carries the higher rating by 95 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Lloyd Harris 7–3 against Alexis Galarneau 6–4.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Lloyd Harris 19 matches, Alexis Galarneau 21. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Full head to head: Lloyd Harris vs Alexis Galarneau →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-23 | Won by Lloyd Harris | 2-0 6-3, 7-5 | Chengdu |
Last five: Lloyd Harris
| 2026-09-23 | W | Alexis Galarneau | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Kenta Miyoshi | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-02 | L | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1-3 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Bernard Tomić | 2-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-05-20 | L | Andrea Pellegrino | 1-2 | Roland Garros |
Full record for Lloyd Harris →
Last five: Alexis Galarneau
| 2026-09-23 | L | Lloyd Harris | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Elias Ymer | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Keegan Smith | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-03 | L | Vit Kopřiva | 0-2 | Montreal |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Oliver Tarvet | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Alexis Galarneau →