Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet

Jazmin Ortenzi vs Chloe Paquet: match analysis

Jazmin Ortenzi and Chloe Paquet meet at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 15 September 2026. In our ratings Jazmin Ortenzi stands at 1531 (No. 315 in our ranking) and Chloe Paquet at 1425 (No. 453 in our ranking), a gap of 106 points.

Form and context

Recent form for Jazmin Ortenzi: 4–6 in the last 10. The last 3 matches were all defeats. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Himeno Sakatsume at US Open, Women (24 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 4–4. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Urrutia M., rated 1545.

Chloe Paquet comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Justina Mikulskyte at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles (13 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–3. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Maria Timofeeva, rated 1585.

Head to head

This is their first meeting in our records.

Key factors

• Jazmin Ortenzi carries the higher rating by 106 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
• Form over the last 10: Jazmin Ortenzi 4–6 against Chloe Paquet 5–5.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Jazmin Ortenzi 17 matches, Chloe Paquet 27. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.

Verdict

Jazmin Ortenzi is the pick at 71%, and 2–0 is the single most likely scoreline (41%). By tennis standards that is a clear call. Jazmin Ortenzi wins in straight sets in 41% of the model's outcomes, and there is a 46% chance of a deciding third set.