15 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R6
Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita
WTA Final: 2–0 (7-5, 6-4)
Forecast
| Rating | 1601 (#157) | 1480 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 56 | 28 |
| Recent form | LWLWL | LLWLL |
| Head-to-head wins | 2 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 45%
Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita: match analysis
Darja Semenistaja and Hayu Kinoshita meet at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 15 September 2026. The rating gap is 121 points: Darja Semenistaja 1601 (ranked 157 by our model) against Hayu Kinoshita 1480.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (7-5, 6-4). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Darja Semenistaja: 4–6 in the last 10. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Anastasia Potapova at US Open, Women (1 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 8–10. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Costoulas S., rated 1630.
Recent form for Hayu Kinoshita: 4–6 in the last 10. Last time out, Hayu Kinoshita lost 0–2 to Cadence Brace at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 13 September. At tour level this season: 2–3. Best recent win: Black B. (rated 1600).
Head to head
Darja Semenistaja leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Darja Semenistaja, 2–0 at US Open, Women (25 August).
Key factors
- Darja Semenistaja carries the higher rating by 121 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Darja Semenistaja 4–6 against Hayu Kinoshita 4–6.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Darja Semenistaja 45 matches, Hayu Kinoshita 7. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- Darja Semenistaja leads the head to head 1–0 (1 meeting). The last meeting went to Darja Semenistaja, 2–0 at US Open, Women (25 August).
Full head to head: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-15 | Won by Darja Semenistaja | 2-0 7-5, 6-4 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | Won by Darja Semenistaja | 2-0 6-2, 7-5 | US Open, Women |
Last five: Darja Semenistaja
| 2026-09-16 | L | Teodora Kostović | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Hayu Kinoshita | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-01 | L | Anastasia Potapova | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Hayu Kinoshita | 2-0 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-07-21 | L | Sinja Kraus | 1-2 | Hamburg |
Full record for Darja Semenistaja →
Last five: Hayu Kinoshita
| 2026-09-15 | L | Darja Semenistaja | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-13 | L | Cadence Brace | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-12 | W | Victoria Rodriguez | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Darja Semenistaja | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Mariam Bolkvadze | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Hayu Kinoshita →