15 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R6
Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
WTA Final: 1–2 (6-3, 6-7, 3-6)
Forecast
| Rating | 1486 | 1579 (#190) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 6 | 55 |
| Recent form | LLWWL | LWWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva: match analysis
WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles puts Xiaodi You against Alina Charaeva on 15 September 2026. There is little data on Xiaodi You yet, so the rating is pulled towards the average.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 1–2 (6-3, 6-7, 3-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Xiaodi You is 2–3 over the last 5 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Victoria Bosio at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles (13 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 2–3. Best recent win: Luiza Fullana (rated 1528).
Alina Charaeva is 5–5 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Susan Bandecchi at US Open, Women (25 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 11–10. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Nikola Bartunkova, rated 1633.
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Alina Charaeva carries the higher rating by 92 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Xiaodi You 2–3 against Alina Charaeva 5–5.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Xiaodi You 5 matches, Alina Charaeva 47. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.
Full head to head: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-15 | Won by Alina Charaeva | 1-2 6-3, 6-7, 3-6 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Xiaodi You
| 2026-09-15 | L | Alina Charaeva | 1-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-13 | W | Victoria Bosio | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-12 | W | Luiza Fullana | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-24 | L | Qinwen Zheng | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
| 2026-06-23 | L | Leolia Jeanjean | 1-2 | Wimbledon |
Last five: Alina Charaeva
| 2026-09-22 | W | Sofia Kenin | 2-1 | Seoul |
| 2026-09-18 | L | Anna Blinkova | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Elina Avanesyan | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-15 | W | Xiaodi You | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Susan Bandecchi | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Alina Charaeva →