Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov

Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov: match analysis

On 22 September 2026, Luca Castelnuovo takes on Pavel Kotov at Chengdu. There is little data on Pavel Kotov yet, so the rating is pulled towards the average.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 1–2 (7-6, 5-7, 5-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Recent form for Luca Castelnuovo: 3–7 in the last 10. The last 3 matches were all defeats. Last time out, Luca Castelnuovo lost 0–2 to Jurij Rodionov at Stuttgart on 6 June. At tour level this season: 0–1. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Peliwo F., rated 1641.

Recent form for Pavel Kotov: 6–4 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Cui J. at ATP Singles: Shenzhen 2 challenger (15 October). All of Pavel Kotov's 2026 results on record come below tour level. Best recent win: Santillan A. (rated 1669).

Head to head

This is their first meeting in our records.

Key factors

• Pavel Kotov carries the higher rating by 56 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
• Form over the last 10: Luca Castelnuovo 3–7 against Pavel Kotov 6–4.
• Tour-level experience in our data: Luca Castelnuovo 1 matches, Pavel Kotov 1. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
• One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.