22 September 2026 / Chengdu /R1

Alexandre Muller vs Luka Pavlović

ATP Final: 2–1 (6-4, 6-7, 6-3)

Forecast

Sets 0–2 Medium confidence
Rating 1428 (#450) 1536 (#309)
Matches on record 3831
Recent form LLWWWLWLWL
Head-to-head wins 10

Set-score probabilities

2–0 16%
2–1 19%
1–2 29%
0–2 37%

Chance of a third set 48%

Alexandre Muller vs Luka Pavlović: match analysis

On 22 September 2026, Alexandre Muller takes on Luka Pavlović at Chengdu. Alexandre Muller is rated 1428 (No. 450 in our ranking), Luka Pavlović 1536 (No. 309 in our ranking) — 108 points apart.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-4, 6-7, 6-3). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Recent form for Alexandre Muller: 2–8 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Laslo Djere at US Open, Men (24 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–11. Best recent win: Struff J. (rated 1595).

Recent form for Luka Pavlović: 5–5 in the last 10. Last time out, Luka Pavlović beat Juan Pablo Varillas 2–1 at US Open, Men on 24 August. At tour level this season: 5–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Paroulek T., rated 1619.

Head to head

This is their first meeting in our records.

Key factors

Full head to head: Alexandre Muller vs Luka Pavlović →

Previous meetings

2026-09-22 Won by Alexandre Muller 2-1 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 Chengdu

Last five: Alexandre Muller

2026-09-23 W Petr Bar Biryukov 2-0 Chengdu
2026-09-22 W Luka Pavlović 2-1 Chengdu
2026-08-24 W Laslo Djere 2-0 US Open, Men
2026-07-20 L Mariano Navone 0-2 Kitzbuhel
2026-07-14 L Aleksandr Shevchenko 1-2 Gstaad

Full record for Alexandre Muller →

Last five: Luka Pavlović

2026-09-22 L Alexandre Muller 1-2 Chengdu
2026-08-24 W Juan Pablo Varillas 2-1 US Open, Men
2026-06-24 L Jaime Faria 0-2 Wimbledon
2026-06-22 W Mark Lajal 2-0 Wimbledon
2026-05-24 L Joao Fonseca 0-3 Roland Garros

Full record for Luka Pavlović →

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