Forecast
| Rating | 1428 (#450) | 1536 (#309) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 38 | 31 |
| Recent form | LLWWW | LWLWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 48%
Alexandre Muller vs Luka Pavlović: match analysis
On 22 September 2026, Alexandre Muller takes on Luka Pavlović at Chengdu. Alexandre Muller is rated 1428 (No. 450 in our ranking), Luka Pavlović 1536 (No. 309 in our ranking) — 108 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-4, 6-7, 6-3). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Alexandre Muller: 2–8 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Laslo Djere at US Open, Men (24 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–11. Best recent win: Struff J. (rated 1595).
Recent form for Luka Pavlović: 5–5 in the last 10. Last time out, Luka Pavlović beat Juan Pablo Varillas 2–1 at US Open, Men on 24 August. At tour level this season: 5–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Paroulek T., rated 1619.
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Luka Pavlović carries the higher rating by 108 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Last 10 matches: Alexandre Muller 2–8, Luka Pavlović 5–5.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Alexandre Muller 36, Luka Pavlović 11. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
Full head to head: Alexandre Muller vs Luka Pavlović →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-22 | Won by Alexandre Muller | 2-1 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 | Chengdu |
Last five: Alexandre Muller
| 2026-09-23 | W | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Luka Pavlović | 2-1 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Laslo Djere | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-07-20 | L | Mariano Navone | 0-2 | Kitzbuhel |
| 2026-07-14 | L | Aleksandr Shevchenko | 1-2 | Gstaad |
Full record for Alexandre Muller →
Last five: Luka Pavlović
| 2026-09-22 | L | Alexandre Muller | 1-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2-1 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Jaime Faria | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-06-22 | W | Mark Lajal | 2-0 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-05-24 | L | Joao Fonseca | 0-3 | Roland Garros |
Full record for Luka Pavlović →