Forecast
| Rating | 1524 (#334) | 1546 (#280) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 46 | 46 |
| Recent form | WLLWL | LLWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Elias Ymer vs Alexis Galarneau: match analysis
On 22 September 2026, Elias Ymer takes on Alexis Galarneau at Chengdu. Elias Ymer is rated 1524 (No. 334 in our ranking), Alexis Galarneau 1546 (No. 280 in our ranking) — 22 points apart.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (5-7, 6-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Elias Ymer comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Franco Roncadelli at US Open, Men (24 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–5. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Peniston R., rated 1623.
Alexis Galarneau comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Keegan Smith at US Open, Men (24 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 8–5. Best recent win: Alex Barrena (rated 1594).
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 22 points in favour of Alexis Galarneau. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Elias Ymer 5–5, Alexis Galarneau 6–4.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Elias Ymer 17, Alexis Galarneau 20. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
Full head to head: Elias Ymer vs Alexis Galarneau →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-22 | Won by Alexis Galarneau | 0-2 5-7, 6-7 | Chengdu |
Last five: Elias Ymer
| 2026-09-22 | L | Alexis Galarneau | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Franco Roncadelli | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-07-25 | L | Trevor Svajda | 0-2 | Washington |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Timofey Skatov | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-06-22 | W | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2-1 | Wimbledon |
Last five: Alexis Galarneau
| 2026-09-23 | L | Lloyd Harris | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Elias Ymer | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-24 | W | Keegan Smith | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-03 | L | Vit Kopřiva | 0-2 | Montreal |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Oliver Tarvet | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Alexis Galarneau →