Forecast
| Rating | 1536 | 1604 (#150) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 50 | 45 |
| Recent form | WLLLL | WLWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 47%
Kaichi Uchida vs Federico Cinà: match analysis
On 22 September 2026, Kaichi Uchida takes on Federico Cinà at Chengdu. The rating gap is 68 points: Kaichi Uchida 1536 against Federico Cinà 1604 (ranked 150 by our model).
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (1-6, 2-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Kaichi Uchida is 2–8 over the last 10 matches. That includes 3 defeats in a row. Last time out, Kaichi Uchida lost 0–2 to Bernard Tomic at Wimbledon on 22 June. At tour level this season: 0–2. Best recent win: Mukund S. (rated 1675).
Federico Cinà comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 1–0 win over Luca Nardi at US Open, Men (25 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 10–6. Best recent win: Lorenzo Giustino (rated 1601).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Federico Cinà carries the higher rating by 68 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Form over the last 10: Kaichi Uchida 2–8 against Federico Cinà 6–4.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Kaichi Uchida 3 matches, Federico Cinà 20. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
- One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.
Full head to head: Kaichi Uchida vs Federico Cinà →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-22 | Won by Federico Cinà | 0-2 1-6, 2-6 | Chengdu |
Last five: Kaichi Uchida
| 2026-09-22 | L | Federico Cinà | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-06-22 | L | Bernard Tomic | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-05-19 | L | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 0-2 | Roland Garros |
| 2025-11-23 | L | Sakamoto R. | 0-2 | ATP Singles: Yokohama challenger |
| 2025-11-22 | W | Marcondes I. | 2-1 | ATP Singles: Yokohama challenger |
Full record for Kaichi Uchida →
Last five: Federico Cinà
| 2026-09-23 | L | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-2 | Chengdu |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Kaichi Uchida | 2-0 | Chengdu |
| 2026-08-25 | W | Luca Nardi | 1-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-07-20 | L | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1-2 | Kitzbuhel |
| 2026-07-19 | W | Lorenzo Giustino | 2-0 | Kitzbuhel |
Full record for Federico Cinà →