Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan

Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan: match analysis

Alex Bolt and Akira Santillan meet at Hangzhou on 23 September 2026. The rating gap is 48 points: Alex Bolt 1621 (No. 122 in our ranking) against Akira Santillan 1669.

Result against the prediction

Final score in sets: 2–1 (6-1, 2-6, 6-4). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.

Form and context

Alex Bolt is 3–7 over the last 10 matches. Last time out, Alex Bolt beat Omar Jasika 2–0 at Hangzhou on 22 September. At tour level this season: 3–8. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Sweeny D., rated 1678.

Akira Santillan comes in with a 7–3 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Akira Santillan beat Kaigaoge Kang 2–0 at Hangzhou on 22 September. At tour level this season: 1–0. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Basing M., rated 1683.

Head to head

They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.

Key factors

• Rating gap: 47 points in favour of Akira Santillan. This drives most of the win probability.
• Last 10 matches: Alex Bolt 3–7, Akira Santillan 7–3.
• ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Alex Bolt 18, Akira Santillan 1. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
• One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.