Forecast
| Rating | 1556 (#254) | 1529 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 55 | 3 |
| Recent form | WLLWL | LWW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Bernard Tomić vs Fajing Sun: match analysis
Hangzhou puts Bernard Tomić against Fajing Sun on 23 September 2026. Fajing Sun has too few matches on record for a firm rating, so the model keeps that rating close to average.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 0–2 (4-6, 5-7). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Bernard Tomić: 6–4 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–1 win over Te Rigele at Hangzhou (22 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 7–5. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Sweeny D., rated 1678.
Fajing Sun comes in with a 1–1 record from the last 2 matches. Last time out, Fajing Sun beat Matthew Dellavedova 2–1 at Hangzhou on 22 September. At tour level this season: 1–1. Best recent win: Matthew Dellavedova (rated 1570).
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 27 points in favour of Bernard Tomić. This drives most of the win probability.
- Last 10 matches: Bernard Tomić 6–4, Fajing Sun 1–1.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Bernard Tomić 28, Fajing Sun 2. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- One of these players has too few matches on record, or has barely played at tour level, so the rating is pulled back towards the average. Treat this as a rough read, not a confident call.
Full head to head: Bernard Tomić vs Fajing Sun →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-23 | Won by Fajing Sun | 0-2 4-6, 5-7 | Hangzhou |
Last five: Bernard Tomić
| 2026-09-23 | L | Fajing Sun | 0-2 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Te Rigele | 2-1 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Lloyd Harris | 1-2 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-07-31 | L | Cameron Norrie | 0-2 | Los Cabos |
| 2026-07-30 | W | Karen Khachanov | 2-0 | Los Cabos |
Full record for Bernard Tomić →
Last five: Fajing Sun
| 2026-09-23 | W | Bernard Tomić | 2-0 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Matthew Dellavedova | 2-1 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-05-18 | L | Jesper De Jong | 0-2 | Roland Garros |