Forecast
| Rating | 1487 (#396) | 1568 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 31 | 33 |
| Recent form | WWLWW | LLLWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 1 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 50%
Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuoka: match analysis
On 23 September 2026, Taro Daniel takes on Hayato Matsuoka at Hangzhou. The rating gap is 81 points: Taro Daniel 1487 (No. 396 in our ranking) against Hayato Matsuoka 1568.
Result against the prediction
Final score in sets: 2–0 (6-4, 7-6). This match was not in the prediction record, which only takes matches locked before they start.
Form and context
Recent form for Taro Daniel: 5–5 in the last 10. The latest result was a 2–0 win over Jake Delaney at Hangzhou (22 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 5–3. Best recent win: Kyrian Jacquet (rated 1625).
Recent form for Hayato Matsuoka: 5–5 in the last 10. Last time out, Hayato Matsuoka beat Arthur Weber 2–0 at Hangzhou on 22 September. At tour level this season: 1–0. Best recent win: Arthur Weber (rated 1664).
Head to head
This is their first meeting in our records.
Key factors
- Hayato Matsuoka carries the higher rating by 81 points — the biggest single input to the forecast.
- Last 10 matches: Taro Daniel 5–5, Hayato Matsuoka 5–5.
- ATP/WTA-level matches on record: Taro Daniel 22, Hayato Matsuoka 1. A rating built at tour level is trusted more than one built in ITF events.
- One of these players has a moderate record behind their rating, so the forecast is less firm than it looks.
Full head to head: Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuoka →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-23 | Won by Taro Daniel | 2-0 6-4, 7-6 | Hangzhou |
Last five: Taro Daniel
| 2026-09-23 | W | Hayato Matsuoka | 2-0 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Jake Delaney | 2-0 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-08-25 | L | Andrew Johnson | 1-2 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-07-19 | W | Kyrian Jacquet | 2-1 | Estoril |
| 2026-07-18 | W | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2-0 | Estoril |
Last five: Hayato Matsuoka
| 2026-09-23 | L | Taro Daniel | 0-2 | Hangzhou |
| 2026-09-22 | W | Arthur Weber | 2-0 | Hangzhou |
| 2025-11-25 | L | Polmans M. | 0-2 | ATP Singles: Playford 2 challenger |
| 2025-11-23 | L | Duckworth J. | 0-2 | ATP Singles: Sydney challenger |
| 2025-11-22 | L | McCabe J. | 0-2 | ATP Singles: Sydney challenger |
Full record for Hayato Matsuoka →