Forecast
| Rating | 1544 (#291) | 1625 (#115) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 67 | 49 |
| Recent form | LWLWL | LWWLW |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 0 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 48%
Aleksandar Vukić vs Kyrian Jacquet: match analysis
Hangzhou puts Aleksandar Vukić against Kyrian Jacquet on 23 September 2026. Aleksandar Vukić is rated 1544 (ranked 291 by our model), Kyrian Jacquet 1625 (ranked 115 by our model) — 81 points apart.
Form and context
Aleksandar Vukić comes in with a 5–5 record from the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 1–2 loss to Mark Lajal at Cincinnati (13 August). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 11–14. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Alex Bolt, rated 1621.
Kyrian Jacquet comes in with a 6–4 record from the last 10 matches. Last time out, Kyrian Jacquet beat Lautaro Midon 2–0 at US Open, Men on 24 August. At tour level this season: 13–7. Best recent win: Felix Gill (rated 1678).
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 81 points in favour of Kyrian Jacquet. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Aleksandar Vukić 5–5 against Kyrian Jacquet 6–4.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Aleksandar Vukić 65 matches, Kyrian Jacquet 33. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Verdict
Verdict: Kyrian Jacquet to win, with a 65% chance; the most likely score is 0–2 (36%). The edge is genuine but far from decisive — Aleksandar Vukić wins this often enough. Straight-sets win for Kyrian Jacquet: 36%. A deciding third set: 48%.
Full head to head: Aleksandar Vukić vs Kyrian Jacquet →
Last five: Aleksandar Vukić
| 2026-08-13 | L | Mark Lajal | 1-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-12 | W | Darwin Blanch | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-04 | L | Daniel Altmaier | 1-2 | Montreal |
| 2026-08-01 | W | Tomás Barrios Vera | 2-0 | Montreal |
| 2026-07-29 | L | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-2 | Washington |
Full record for Aleksandar Vukić →
Last five: Kyrian Jacquet
| 2026-08-24 | W | Lautaro Midon | 2-0 | US Open, Men |
| 2026-08-14 | L | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-2 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-13 | W | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-12 | W | Billy Harris | 2-0 | Cincinnati |
| 2026-08-03 | L | Gabriel Diallo | 1-2 | Montreal |
Full record for Kyrian Jacquet →
More matches at Hangzhou
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aleksandar Vukić vs Kyrian Jacquet?
The model makes Kyrian Jacquet the favourite with a 65% chance; Aleksandar Vukić is given 35%.
What is the predicted score for Aleksandar Vukić vs Kyrian Jacquet?
The most likely score in sets is 0–2 (36%), followed by 1–2 (29%).
Will Aleksandar Vukić vs Kyrian Jacquet go to three sets?
The model puts the chance of a deciding third set at 48%.
Have Aleksandar Vukić and Kyrian Jacquet played each other before?
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
What is the recent form of Aleksandar Vukić and Kyrian Jacquet?
Over their last 10 matches Aleksandar Vukić is 5–5 and Kyrian Jacquet is 6–4.