15 September 2026 / WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles /R6
Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa
WTA 23:15 All times UTC
Forecast
| Rating | 1509 (#356) | 1641 (#89) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches on record | 45 | 37 |
| Recent form | WLWLL | LWWWL |
| Head-to-head wins | 0 | 1 |
Set-score probabilities
Chance of a third set 44%
Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa: match analysis
On 15 September 2026, Justina Mikulskyte takes on Paula Badosa at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles. Justina Mikulskyte is rated 1509 (No. 356 in our ranking), Paula Badosa 1641 (No. 89 in our ranking) — 132 points apart.
Form and context
Recent form for Justina Mikulskyte: 7–3 in the last 10. Last time out, Justina Mikulskyte lost 0–2 to Chloe Paquet at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles on 13 September. At tour level this season: 2–2. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Ansari C., rated 1591.
Paula Badosa is 7–3 over the last 10 matches. The latest result was a 0–2 loss to Coco Gauff at US Open, Women (3 September). ATP/WTA-level record in 2026: 12–12. The strongest opponent beaten recently was Coco Gauff, rated 1911.
Head to head
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
Key factors
- Rating gap: 132 points in favour of Paula Badosa. This drives most of the win probability.
- Form over the last 10: Justina Mikulskyte 7–3 against Paula Badosa 7–3.
- Tour-level experience in our data: Justina Mikulskyte 11 matches, Paula Badosa 33. Ratings from lower-tier events are pulled towards the average.
Verdict
Verdict: Paula Badosa to win, with a 75% chance; the most likely score is 0–2 (45%). By tennis standards that is a clear call. Straight-sets win for Paula Badosa: 45%. A deciding third set: 44%.
Full head to head: Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa →
Previous meetings
| 2026-09-16 | Won by Paula Badosa | 0-2 3-6, 2-6 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
Last five: Justina Mikulskyte
| 2026-09-16 | L | Paula Badosa | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-13 | L | Chloe Paquet | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-12 | W | Antonia Vergara Rivera | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-06-24 | L | Lucia Bronzetti | 0-2 | Wimbledon |
| 2026-06-23 | W | Carol Zhao | 2-0 | Wimbledon |
Full record for Justina Mikulskyte →
Last five: Paula Badosa
| 2026-09-19 | L | Nadia Podoroska | 0-2 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-18 | W | Mary Stoiana | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-17 | W | Jazmin Ortenzi | 2-1 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-16 | W | Justina Mikulskyte | 2-0 | WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles |
| 2026-09-03 | L | Coco Gauff | 0-2 | US Open, Women |
Full record for Paula Badosa →
More matches at WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa?
The model makes Paula Badosa the favourite with a 75% chance; Justina Mikulskyte is given 25%.
What is the predicted score for Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa?
The most likely score in sets is 0–2 (45%), followed by 1–2 (30%).
Will Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa go to three sets?
The model puts the chance of a deciding third set at 44%.
Have Justina Mikulskyte and Paula Badosa played each other before?
They have not met before in our records, so there is no head to head to lean on.
What is the recent form of Justina Mikulskyte and Paula Badosa?
Over their last 10 matches Justina Mikulskyte is 7–3 and Paula Badosa is 7–3.