Over 2.5 sets predictions 14 September 2026

Every best-of-three singles match ranked by the chance that it goes the distance to a third set. Evenly matched players make three-setters; a lopsided pairing usually ends in two.

Chance of a third set, 17 matches

MatchThree sets Two sets
13:00 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro – Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 50% 50%
13:00 Mary Stoiana – Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 50% 50%
13:00 Anna Blinkova – Carol Young-suh Lee WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 50% 50%
13:00 Suzan Lamens – Carolina Alves WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 50% 50%
20:30 Julia Riera – Elina Avanesyan WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 49% 51%
13:00 Lucrezia Stefanini – Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 49% 51%
13:00 Eva Lys – Gabriela Cé WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 49% 51%
13:00 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva – Astra Sharma WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 49% 51%
13:00 Teodora Kostović – Victoria Luiza Barros WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 48% 52%
20:30 Xiaodi You – Alina Charaeva WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 47% 53%
13:00 Vendula Valdmannova – Laura Pigossi WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles 40% 60%
Finished Magdalena Frech – Nao Hibino Guadalajara · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Elvina Kalieva – Kayla Day Guadalajara · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Renata Zarazua – Caroline Dolehide Guadalajara · final 1–2 49% 51%
Finished Zeynep Sönmez – Iryna Shymanovich Guadalajara · final 2–0 48% 52%
Finished Tatjana Maria – Taylor Townsend Guadalajara · final 1–2 46% 54%
Finished Carole Monnet – Sloane Stephens Guadalajara · final 0–2 39% 61%
How the three-set chance is worked out
It follows directly from the win probability: the closer a match is to 50/50, the more likely each set is to be shared and the match to need a third. Grand Slam men's matches (best of five) are left out here.