Over 2.5 sets predictions 22 September 2026

Every best-of-three singles match ranked by the chance that it goes the distance to a third set. Evenly matched players make three-setters; a lopsided pairing usually ends in two.

Chance of a third set, 31 matches

MatchThree sets Two sets
Finished Taro Daniel – Jake Delaney Hangzhou · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Sohyun Park – Robin Montgomery Seoul · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Masamichi Imamura – Rio Noguchi Hangzhou · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Emerson Jones – Yexin Ma Seoul · final 1–2 50% 50%
Finished Petr Bar Biryukov – Andre Ilagan Chengdu · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Tamara Zidanšek – Kimberly Birrell Seoul · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Alevtina Ibragimova – Yeonwoo Ku Seoul · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Fajing Sun – Matthew Dellavedova Hangzhou · final 2–1 50% 50%
Finished Luca Castelnuovo – Pavel Kotov Chengdu · final 1–2 50% 50%
Finished Arthur Weber – Hayato Matsuoka Hangzhou · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Elias Ymer – Alexis Galarneau Chengdu · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Taylah Preston – Himeno Sakatsume Seoul · final 2–1 49% 51%
Finished Donna Vekić – Xinyu Wang Singapore · final 0–2 49% 51%
Finished Dalibor Svrčina – Philip Sekulic Hangzhou · final 2–0 49% 51%
Finished Bernard Tomić – Te Rigele Hangzhou · final 2–1 49% 51%
Finished Alina Charaeva – Sofia Kenin Seoul · final 2–1 48% 52%
Finished Alycia Parks – Mei Yamaguchi Singapore · final 2–0 48% 52%
Finished Alexandre Muller – Luka Pavlović Chengdu · final 2–1 48% 52%
Finished Kaichi Uchida – Federico Cinà Chengdu · final 0–2 47% 53%
Finished Jelena Ostapenko – Anastasia Zakharova Seoul · final 2–0 47% 53%
Finished Tatiana Prozorova – Sofia Costoulas Singapore · final 2–1 47% 53%
Finished Nikoloz Basilashvili – Hanlei Lu Chengdu · final 2–0 46% 54%
Finished Maria Sakkari – Linda Fruhvirtova Singapore · final 2–0 46% 54%
Finished Kaigaoge Kang – Akira Santillan Hangzhou · final 0–2 46% 54%
Finished Anna Bondar – Renata Zarazua Seoul · final 2–1 46% 54%
Finished Alex Bolt – Omar Jasika Hangzhou · final 2–0 46% 54%
Finished Eva Lys – Elena-Gabriela Ruse Seoul · final 0–2 45% 55%
Finished Vivian Wolff – Oleksandra Oliynykova Singapore · final 0–2 45% 55%
Finished Lloyd Harris – Kenta Miyoshi Chengdu · final 2–0 44% 56%
Finished Shintaro Mochizuki – Linang Xiao Chengdu · final 2–1 43% 57%
Finished Barbora Krejčiková – Anna-Lena Friedsam Singapore · final 2–1 42% 58%
How the three-set chance is worked out
It follows directly from the win probability: the closer a match is to 50/50, the more likely each set is to be shared and the match to need a third. Grand Slam men's matches (best of five) are left out here.