Over 2.5 sets predictions 24 September 2026

Every best-of-three singles match ranked by the chance that it goes the distance to a third set. Evenly matched players make three-setters; a lopsided pairing usually ends in two.

Chance of a third set, 28 matches

MatchThree sets Two sets
07:20 Mattia Bellucci – Kamil Majchrzak Hangzhou 50% 50%
03:00 Anna Bondar – Alina Charaeva Seoul 50% 50%
08:00 Martin Damm Jr – Shintaro Mochizuki Chengdu 50% 50%
03:00 Yexin Ma – Kimberly Birrell Seoul 50% 50%
06:10 Xinyu Wang – Joanna Garland Singapore 50% 50%
07:50 Jie Cui – Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Hangzhou 50% 50%
05:00 Tallon Griekspoor – Denis Shapovalov Chengdu 50% 50%
08:00 Jelena Ostapenko – Taylah Preston Seoul 50% 50%
05:00 James Duckworth – Lorenzo Sonego Chengdu 49% 51%
06:10 Miomir Kecmanović – Nikoloz Basilashvili Chengdu 49% 51%
06:10 Moise Kouame – Alexandre Muller Chengdu 49% 51%
05:00 Talia Gibson – Viktoria Morvayova Singapore 49% 51%
06:10 Juncheng Shang – Adrian Mannarino Chengdu 49% 51%
05:00 Sho Shimabukuro – Hugo Gaston Hangzhou 48% 52%
06:10 Fábián Marozsán – Alex Bolt Hangzhou 48% 52%
05:00 Nuno Borges – Camilo Ugo Carabelli Chengdu 48% 52%
11:40 Maria Sakkari – Nao Hibino Singapore 47% 53%
08:30 Fajing Sun – Roman Safiullin Hangzhou 47% 53%
05:30 Jaime Faria – Terence Atmane Hangzhou 47% 53%
07:20 Aleksandr Shevchenko – Hubert Hurkacz Chengdu 47% 53%
06:00 Yeonwoo Ku – Elena-Gabriela Ruse Seoul 47% 53%
06:40 Yunchaokete Bu – Michael Zheng Hangzhou 46% 54%
06:10 Rinky Hijikata – Dalibor Svrčina Hangzhou 46% 54%
07:20 Lloyd Harris – Aleksandar Kovačević Chengdu 43% 57%
05:00 Dane Sweeny – Taro Daniel Hangzhou 41% 59%
08:30 Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Yi Zhou Chengdu 39% 61%
10:30 Tatiana Prozorova – Alexandra Eala Singapore 38% 62%
11:30 Zhizhen Zhang – Coleman Wong Hangzhou 37% 63%
How the three-set chance is worked out
It follows directly from the win probability: the closer a match is to 50/50, the more likely each set is to be shared and the match to need a third. Grand Slam men's matches (best of five) are left out here.