ATP predictions 22 September 2026
ATP matches only: win probability, most likely set score and deciding-set chance for every singles match, from ratings built on 57,590 matches.
16Matches
2Tournaments
16Forecast
9,192Players rated
Strongest calls of the day
07:30ChengduR1Shintaro Mochizuki2Linang Xiao12–0AI prediction77%High confidence23%ForecastMochizuki to win77%Full analysis 06:50ChengduR1Lloyd Harris2Kenta Miyoshi02–0AI prediction76%High confidence24%ForecastHarris to win76%Full analysis 04:00HangzhouR1Alex Bolt2Omar Jasika02–0AI prediction72%High confidence28%ForecastBolt to win72%Full analysis
All matches by tournament
ATP Chengdu
05:00Alexandre MullerLuka Pavlović
6662
4731
Pavlović66%0–2›05:00Elias YmerAlexis Galarneau560
772
Galarneau56%0–2›05:00Petr Bar BiryukovAndre Ilagan772
660
Biryukov54%2–0›06:50Lloyd HarrisKenta Miyoshi672
350
Harris76%2–0›07:30Shintaro MochizukiLinang Xiao7472
5651
Mochizuki77%2–0›07:40Luca CastelnuovoPavel Kotov7551
6772
Kotov56%0–2›08:30Kaichi UchidaFederico Cinà120
662
Cinà67%0–2›10:25Nikoloz BasilashviliHanlei Lu662
200
Basilashvili70%2–0›ATP Hangzhou
04:00Alex BoltOmar Jasika
662
430
Bolt72%2–0›04:00Kaigaoge KangAkira Santillan300
662
Santillan70%0–2›04:00Taro DanielJake Delaney662
340
Daniel52%2–0›05:30Bernard TomićTe Rigele6672
7451
Tomić63%2–0›05:45Arthur WeberHayato Matsuoka450
672
Weber56%2–0›05:45Dalibor SvrčinaPhilip Sekulic662
320
Svrčina63%2–0›07:10Masamichi ImamuraRio Noguchi140
662
Noguchi54%0–2›08:25Fajing SunMatthew Dellavedova3672
6161
Dellavedova54%0–2›
How these predictions are made
Every player carries a rating that moves after each match by how surprising the result was — beating a stronger opponent is worth more than beating a weaker one, and a win in an ATP or WTA draw counts for more than one in an ITF event. The win probability comes from the gap between two ratings, adjusted by their head-to-head record. The set score follows from that probability rather than being guessed separately. Where a player has played too few matches, or has never played at tour level, the rating is pulled back towards the average and the match is marked as thin data instead of being dressed up as a confident call. Doubles are excluded: the rating measures singles.
Every player carries a rating that moves after each match by how surprising the result was — beating a stronger opponent is worth more than beating a weaker one, and a win in an ATP or WTA draw counts for more than one in an ITF event. The win probability comes from the gap between two ratings, adjusted by their head-to-head record. The set score follows from that probability rather than being guessed separately. Where a player has played too few matches, or has never played at tour level, the rating is pulled back towards the average and the match is marked as thin data instead of being dressed up as a confident call. Doubles are excluded: the rating measures singles.